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昨天,花旗银行在一份研究报告中指出,黄金价格将于年底前重回1000美元/盎司水平之上,从更长期的角度来看,金价有能力达到现在价位的两倍甚至三倍。这是近期国际投行对于现货黄金价格最为乐观的判断,截至记者发稿,国际金价报928.80美元/盎司,与上一交易日相比上涨3.3美元。
本周最新公布的数据显示,6月份欧元区通胀率已经达到4%,创下自1997年以来的新高。历史经验显示,每当美元走势疲软、通胀压力增大的时候,黄金价格往往会有不俗表现。花旗银行的报告指出,宏观层面上影响金价的主要因素已经由对次贷危机的担忧,转为全球范围内不断增加的通胀压力。受季节性需求因素和对不断加大的通胀压力的担忧影响,黄金将会于下半年重回1000美元/盎司大关。
根据花旗银行的数据,去年第四季度和今年第一季度,大中华地区的珠宝销售达到了93吨,同比上升了7%,这使得占世界珠宝销售21%份额的整个大中华地区成为了世界最大的珠宝市场。
纽约商品期货交易所期金价格周一小幅收低,因月底部位结清及油价回吐稍早涨幅,尽管黄金上市交易基金(ETF)的持金量增加。指标8月期金结算价跌3.00美元,报每盎司928.30美元。上海期货交易所黄金期货价格低开高走,各主要合约收盘涨跌幅由跌1.53元至涨2.64元不等。其中主力合约0812收报205.55元/克,较上一交易日上涨0.28元。全日成交1.24万手,持仓量为2.74万手,减少638手。
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Gold will be back before the end of 1000 U.S. dollars
Yesterday, Citigroup in a research report that gold prices will be back before the end of 1000 U.S. dollars / oz level above, from a long-term perspective, the gold price now have the ability to achieve double or even triple. This is the recent international investment banks for the spot price of gold is most optimistic about the judgement, as this dispatch, the international gold was 928.80 U.S. dollars / ounce, compared with the previous session up 3.3 U.S. dollars.
This week the latest data show that in June the euro zone inflation rate has reached 4 percent, since 1997 hit a new high. Historical experience shows that whenever the weak dollar, inflationary pressures increased, gold prices tend to have good performance. Citibank's report pointed out that the macro level impact of gold has been a major factor on the loan-to-crisis by worries about a global scale to the ever-increasing inflationary pressures. Subject to seasonal demand factors and the growing impact of the worries of inflationary pressures, gold will be back in the second half of 1000 U.S. dollars / ounce mark.
According to the data Citibank, in the fourth quarter and first quarter of this year, the Greater China region's jewellery sales reached 93 tons, up 7 percent, which makes the world's total jewelry sales 21 percent share of the entire Greater China region as a The world's largest jewellery market.
The New York Mercantile Exchange gold prices fell slightly Monday, the end result of taking part settlement of earlier gains and oil prices, despite the publicly traded gold funds (ETF) on the strength of the increase. August gold index fell 3.00 U.S. dollars settlement, to 928.30 U.S. dollars an ounce. Shanghai Futures Exchange gold futures prices Dikaigaozou, the main contract rose 1.53 yuan or decrease by up to 2.64 yuan range. One main contract 0812 to close at 205.55 yuan / g, 0.28 yuan higher than the previous session. Throughout the day were 12,400 hand positions for the 27,400 hand in hand to reduce 638.
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